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Home My WebLink AboutPacket Special Council Aug 2 2024Whatcom County Council (Special) COUNTY COURTHOUSE 311 Grand Avenue, Ste #105 Bellingham, WA 98225-4038 (360) 778-5010 Meeting Agenda Friday, August 2, 2024 1PM Hybrid Meeting - Bellingham City Hall, Mayor's Boardroom, 210 Lottie Street, 2nd Floor, Bellingham, WA 98225 COUNCILMEMBERS HAVE BEEN INVITED TO ATTEND A GROWTH MANAGEMENT COORDINATION WORK SESSION FOR ELECTED OFFICIALS - A QUORUM OF THE COUNCIL MAY ATTEND THIS EVENT COUNCILMEMBERS Barry Buchanan Tyler Byrd Todd Donovan Ben Elenbaas Kaylee Galloway Jon Scanlon Mark Stremler CLERK OF THE COUNCIL Cathy Halka, AICP, CMC Council (Special) Meeting Agenda August 2, 2024 Call To Order Roll Call Discussion AB2024-312 2025 Comprehensive Plan Update and UGA Review Other Business Adiournment Whatcom County Pure 2 Printed on 811212025 File ID: AB2024-312 File Created: 05/02/2024 Department: Council Office Assigned to: Council (Special) Agenda Date: 02/20/2025 Whatcom County Agenda Bill Master Report File Number: AB2024-312 Version: 1 Entered by: DBrown@co.whatcom.wa.us File Type: Discussion Primary Contact Email: DBrown@co.whatcom.wa.us TITLE FOR AGENDA ITEM: 2025 Comprehensive Plan Update and UGA Review SUMMARY STATEMENT OR LEGAL NOTICE LANGUAGE: See attached agenda and letter. HISTORY OF LEGISLATIVE FILE COUNTY COURTHOUSE 311 Grand Avenue, Ste #105 Bellingham, WA 98225-4038 (360)778-5010 Status: Discussed Final Action: 02/20/2025 Enactment #: Date: Acting Body: Action: Sent To: 05/08/2024 Council (Special) DISCUSSED 08/02/2024 Council (Special) DISCUSSED 08/29/2024 Council (Special) DISCUSSED 09/11/2024 Council (Special) DISCUSSED 12/04/2024 Council (Special) DISCUSSED 01/23/2025 Council (Special) DISCUSSED 02/20/2025 Council (Special) DISCUSSED 05/21/2025 Council (Special) DISCUSSED Attachments: Executive Letter to Elected Officials 10.11.2023, Elected Officials Meeting Agenda 5.8.2024, SEPA Presentation 5.8.2024, HB 1220-HAPT Presentation 5.8.2024, Population and Employment Presentation 5.8.2024, Elected Officials Meeting Agenda 8.2.2024, Elected Officials Meeting Agenda 8 29 2024, Elected Officals Meeting - Presentation 8 29 2024, Elected Officials Meeting Agenda 9 11 2024, Elected Officials Meeting Agenda 12.4.2024, Presentation 12.4.2024 (Non -Binding Resolution), Presentation 12.4.2024 (Housing), Presentation 12.4.2024 (EIS), Whatcom County Page 1 Printed on 8/12/2025 Agenda Bill Master Report Continued (AB2024-312) Elected Officials Meeting Agenda 1.23.2025, Elected Officials Meeting Agenda 2.20.2025, Elected Officials Meeting Agenda 5.21.2025 Whatcom County Page 2 Printed on 8/12/2025 I WWHATCOM To: Honorable City Mayors, City Managers, and City Council Members Honorable County Council Members From: Satpal Singh Sidhu, County Executive Date: October 11, 2023 Subject: 2025 Comprehensive Plan Update and UGA Review The Growth Management Act (GMA) requires Whatcom County and the seven cities within the County to update our comprehensive plans and review urban growth areas by June 30, 2025. The GMA expects the County and cities to work cooperatively in this endeavor, and it is to our advantage to do so. That is why each interlocal agreement for planning, annexation and development signed in 2022 includes a clause that the County Executive may convene a group of elected officials from the County and cities to discuss and review issues associated with growth management planning. It is critical to coordinate planning efforts between the County and cities for this important endeavor. Therefore, I am inviting elected officials from the County and the cities to a series of informal meetings to discuss matters relating to growth planning and the urban growth area review. The 1st meeting date and location is: • Wednesday November 8, 2023 - Lynden City Hall, 300 4th Street, Lynden at 2:00 - 4:00 p.m. (this will be a hybrid meeting, so a virtual option will be provided). I am requesting that each city and the County Council provide representation at these meetings. The purpose of the meetings will be to engage in discussions, come to mutual understanding of the goals and issues of each jurisdiction, and coordinate land use planning activities. However, there will not be voting or final decisions made at these meetings. Rather, elected officials will take the information back to their respective jurisdictions for consideration in their own decision making processes. While there is no set number of representatives from each jurisdiction, it must be less than a quorum of the legislative body. Thank you for considering my invitation and I hope to see representatives from each city and the County Council at these meetings. Staff will send out a meeting agenda prior to the meeting. Sincerely, Satpal Singh Sidhu County Executive 311 Grand Avenue Bellingham WA, 98225 (360) 778-5200 ssidhu@whatcomcounty.us City/County Elected Officials Meeting Growth Management Coordination - 2025 Update Agenda May 8, 2024 2:00 - 4:00 p.m. Bellingham City Hall, 210 Lottie Street Mayor's Boardroom in Mayor's office on 2nd floor (virtual option also provided) 2:00 - 4:00 p.m. 1. Welcome and Introductions 2. Population and Employment Growth Projections 3. Housing: House Bill 1220 and Housing for All Planning Tool 4. Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) - Status update 5. Discussion - Elected Officials and Staff 6. Next Meeting, Wednesday September 11 7. Wrap-up and Adjourn Microsoft Teams meeting Join on your computer, mobile app or room device Click here to join the meeting Meeting ID: 211 728 377 510 Passcode: H9vf8X Download Teams I Join on the web Or call in (audio only) +1 929-352-1870„849265777# United States, New York City Phone Conference ID: 849 265 777# Find a local number I Reset PIN Learn More I Meeting options Photo Credit: Rich Stratm� EIS Update I May 8, 2024 WHAT- 'OM COUNTY r;t, ��+-0- SGJ ALLIANCE CONSULTING SERVICES r� L • i a •iL1 . 1 1Yfr• r ~-il. r ti ,ti 1 - - i 1 • • •r ~e- - • • r• __- - •• �7• r ~- •r .n' •ti a4 r 1 % L Y� t X I F'"j Ism' r r • P �t • 1 L I % r r. SEPA Process Z 1- -fir y 1 - -+ T Notice of Intent and Scoping • 30-day Public Comment Period • Scoping Summary II Draft EIS Preparation • Definition of Alternatives • Existing Conditions • Impact Evaluation • Mitigation Strategies DEIS Publication • 30-day Public Comment Period • Public Hearing Final EIS • Definition of Preferred Alternative • Impact Evaluation • Proposed Mitigation • Response to Comments • County Adoption • The kin-artinn Altprnativr would assume that the existing Whatcom County Comprehensive Plan and growth projections are carried forward, which represents a lower growth option (275,450 total County population in 2045). • Alternative 1 would use the Washington State Office of Financial Management (OFM) medium population projection (292,714 total County population in 2045) and allocate growth to each UGA and the area outside the UGAs using recent historic population shares. • Alternative 2 would use a population projection and allocations to each UGA and the area outside the UGAs requested by the cities and County. • Alternative 3 would use a higher population projection than both the OFM medium projection and the population projection requested by the cities and County for 2045 and allocate growth to each UGA and the area outside the UGAs similar to the growth allocations requested by the cities and County. • Alternatives may include, where appropriate, changes to land use/zoning designations, residential densities, and/or urban growth area boundaries to accommodate projected housing and employment growth through the year 2045. • SEPA required element for baseline evaluation • Areas of the environment included in the EIS: • Earth • Air Quality/Climate • Water Resources • Plants and Animals • Land and Shoreline Use • Plans and Policies • Population, Housing, and Employment • Environmental Justice • Cultural Resources • Transportation • Public Services and Utilities • Input from County departments on existing issues ill Ah Croce Complete impact analysis/comparison of the alternatives and mitigation strategy development. Publication of the Draft EIS for public comment is anticipated in early fall of 2024. Public hearing on the Draft EIS -- Publication of the Final EIS is anticipated in the first quarter of r 2025. f• Topic -Specific Citizen Advisory Committees Project Kickoff Orientation Interviews Interactive Community Survey Regional Pop - Ups and Workshops Planning Commission Meetings County Council Meetings Draft E I S Release Open House: Plan Recommendations Final EIS Planning Planning Planning Commission Work Commission Commission Sessions, Meetings L Meetings J Hearings, and Recommendations) County County County Council Council Council Meetings, Meetings Meetings Hearings and J L Adoption Non -binding multi - jurisdictional resolution regarding allocation of growth to UGAs lk AO J6 ..C.. •all P,.--, 11w IF- .16 JL Op %AjL it �Iwffwdhp�_ 41W kq & _2—�JMhL� _Fl Questions on the Process? IMF 00, r Project Website me Project Contacts Matt Aamot Senior Planner Whatcom County 2025Update(D-co.whatcom.wa.us 360.778.5939 Sharese Graham (Consultant) Senior Environmental Planner SCJ Alliance Consulting Services bill._ riq imes(aD-scjalliance.com 509.835.3770 nttps://www.wnatcomcounty.us/4218/2025-Comprehensive-Plan-Updates Photo Credit: Rich Stratm� City/County Elected Officials Meeting I May 8, 2024 W H AST-� Q�MCOUNTY LELAND CONSULTING � GROUP ��+f �f SCJ ALLIANCE CONSULTING SERVICES HB 1220 amended the GMA in 2021 to require that jurisdictions 186 "plan for and accommodate housing affordable to all economic segments of the population of the state" Additionally, RCW 36.70A.070(2) now requires that Commerce project housing needs including "units for moderate, low, very low, and extremely low-income households and emergency housing, emergency shelters and permanent supportive housing." FH HAPT generates total Countywide need based on population projections. County then allocates units to jurisdictions by income band (as a % of Area Median Income) Jurisdictions must show land capacity to accommodate the units 0; through zoning, and document potential barriers to production and racially disparate impacts in housing policy. Further details in HB 1220 Book 1: Establishing Housing Targets for your Community and HB 1220 Book 2: Guidance for Updating Your Housing Element https://deptofcommerc e. box. com/s/chgi8wk1 esnnranyb3ewzgd4wO P.SvP.'�a https://deptofcommerc e. app. box. com/s/1 d9d 517g5O9r389fOmjpowh 8is " irlh 2 • Excel tool developed by Commerce • Housing units categorized by the income bands that they could potentially serve • Income expressed as a % of Area Median Income (AMI), HUD's measurement of family income adjusted for household size (1.34) — standard income measurement for subsidized housing eligibility. • Whatcom County AMI: $102,600 • Tool projects net new units needed by 2045 based on OFM population projections: • 2020 baseline units categorized by income band that they serve. • Data from Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy and Public Unit Microdata Sample (HUD/Census datasets) • New units needed broken down by income band accounting for several categories of need: ousing for baseline I omeless population • Emergency Housing and Permanent Supportive Housing needs determined using Monte Carlo model • Many factors, including disability rate, evictions, incarceration rate, number of one -person households, severe rent -burden, receipt of cash benefits, unemployment, current estimate of homelessness based on the point -in -time count and a number of other data sources. • Full methodology on pp. 43-58 of Book 1. FA Select a Projection Year 2045 1 ✓ • Initial Whatcom County housing baseline and net new units needed based on OFM Medium Projection: Table 1: OFM GMA Population Projections, 2045 Whatcom County Projected Population, 2045 Low Medium High Projected Population (2045) 258,231 292,714 337,551 Table 2: Projected Countywide Housing Needs Based on User Inputs Whatcom County Affordability Level (% of Area Median Income) pulation Target = 292,714 Total Non-PSH PSH 30-50% 50-80% 80-100% 100-120% 120%+ al Future Housing Needed (2045) 130,841 11,062 3,836 15,955 28,123 16,778 14,015 41,072 mated Housing Supply (2020)* 95,217 2,996 404 9,108 24,150 14,457 11,771 32,331 t New Housing Needed (2020-2045) 35,624 8,066 3,432 6,847 3,973 2,321 2,244 8,741 lote: Supply of PSH in 2020 is beds. However, projections of Net New Housing Needed (2020-2045) are in housing units. See Overview tab for details. • Baseline units updated by Leland Consulting Group (LCG) from Commerce -generated 2020 baseline to 2023 using permit data from cities and the County Emergency Housing/Shelter i Beds i 1,295 i 775 i 520 2023 Revised Baseline by UGA Bellingham Total Bellingham City Bellingham Unincorporated UGA Birch Bay Unincorporated UGA Blaine Total Blaine City Blaine Unincorporated UGA Cherry Point Unincorporated UGA Columbia Valley Unincorporated UGA Everson Total Everson City Everson Unincorporated UGA Ferndale Total Ferndale City Ferndale Unincorporated UGA Lynden Total Lynden City Lynden Unincorporated UGA Nooksack Total Nooksack City Nooksack Unincorporated UGA Sumas Total Sumas City Sumas UGA LAMIRDS Area Outside UGAs and LAMIRDS Total 0-30% Emergency % of Total Total Non-PSH PSH > 30-50% > 50-80% > 80-100% > 100-120% > 120% Housing Needs 49.8% 47,564 1,207 586 4,119 16,782 6,400 5,029 13,442 693 45.6% 43,575 1,137 586 3,767 15,503 6,016 4,539 12,027 693 4.2% 3,989 70 0 352 1,279 384 490 1,415 0 5.6% 5,322 197 0 975 1,292 1,155 425 1,278 0 3.9% 3,746 169 0 246 728 918 401 1,284 0 3.7% 3,548 158 0 230 681 900 374 1,205 0 0.2% 198 11 0 16 47 18 27 79 0 0.0% 6 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1.6% 1,541 153 0 432 727 38 28 163 0 1.1 % 1,085 30 0 120 371 207 81 277 0 1.1 % 1,053 29 0 116 359 201 78 270 0 0.0% 32 1 0 4 12 6 3 7 0 6.3% 5,980 203 0 568 1,385 915 694 2,216 0 6.1% 5,818 197 0 552 1,346 889 674 2,160 0 0.2% 162 6 0 16 39 26 20 56 0 6.9% 6,576 76 0 328 1,462 1,175 922 2,614 0 6.8% 6,521 75 0 325 1,451 1,165 914 2,591 0 0.1 % 55 1 0 3 11 10 8 23 0 0.6% 546 0 0 29 150 140 51 175 0 0.6% 542 0 0 29 149 139 51 174 0 0.0% 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0.7% 701 30 0 83 272 168 58 90 0 0.7% 701 30 0 83 272 168 58 90 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9.9% 9,407 335 0 853 990 1,471 1,459 4,299 12 23.5% 22,410 797 0 2,032 2,369 3,508 3,476 10,228 70 100.0% 95,477 2,862 586 8,933 25,538 14,626 11,164 31,768 763 • HAPT Tool allocates housing units by income band to Cities and unincorporated County areas • LCG modified tool to allocate units to: • Cities + UGAs • Unincorporated UGAs (Birch Bay and Columbia Valley) • Limited areas of more intensive rural development (LAMIRDS) • Rural/Resource Land Areas (Outside LAMIRDS and UGAs) • Counties can choose method of allocation: • Commerce baseline method (Method "A") allocates an equal share of new units at each income band to each jurisdiction • Commerce is in the process of updating this methodology to reflect specific considerations of low-income units in rural areas a P.A • Commerce "Guidance for Updating Your Housing Element" broadly connects income bands to housing types. Exhibit 12. Example of relating zone categories to housing types and income levels served in moderate -cost communities Low Density Detached single family homes Higher income (>120 ro AMI) Moderate Density Townhomes, duplex, triplex, Moderate income (�-80- quadplex 120%AMI) Low -Rise Multifamily Walk-up apartments, condominiums Low income (2-3-floors) (� 50-80% AMI) Mid -Rise Multifamily Apartments, condominiums Low income (�-50-80 % AMI) ADUs (all nines) Accessory Dwelling Units on Low income developed residential lots 1 (>50-80°6 AMI) * See discussion in 32 below. Not typically feasible Higher income (5120% at scale* I AMI) Not typically feasible Moderate Income at scalc I (>80-120% AMI) Extremely low and Low income (0-80% Very low income (0- 50% AMI) AMI) and PSH Extremely low and Very low income (0- Low income (0-80% 50% AM]) AMI) and PSH Low income (>50-80% NIA AMI) - Group with Low -Rise and/or Mid - Rise Multifamily O Method A - Equal Share of Countywide Income Band to All Jurisdictions % of Total Total Countywide Net New Units 2023-2045 31,334 Share of Countywide Net New Units 2023-2045 100% Bellingham City & UGA Birch Bay UGA Blaine City & UGA Cherry Point UGA Columbia Valley UGA Everson City & UGA Ferndale City & UGA Lynden City & UGA Nooksack City & UGA Sumas City & UGA LAMIRDs Area Outside UGAs and LAMIRDS Total % of Total Total 49.7% 15,570 3.0% 931 4.5% 1,408 0.0% 0 1.5% 470 1.4% 449 9.8% 3,055 11.0% 3,448 0.6% 194 1.6% 495 5.7% 1,771 11.3% 3,543 100.0% 31,334 0-30% Non-PSH PSH >30-50% >50-80% >80-100% >100-120% >120% 8,055 3,250 6,652 2,155 1,514 2,218 7,490 26% 10% 21% 7% 5% 7% 24% 0-30% Non-PSH PSH >30-50% >50-80% >80-100% >100-120% >120% 4,002 1,615 3,305 1,071 752 1,102 3,722 239 97 198 64 45 66 223 362 146 299 97 68 100 336 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 121 49 100 32 23 33 112 115 47 95 31 22 32 107 785 317 649 210 148 216 730 886 358 732 237 167 244 824 50 20 41 13 9 14 46 127 51 105 34 24 35 118 455 184 376 122 86 125 423 911 367 752 244 171 251 847 8,055 3,250 6,652 2,155 1,514 2,218 7,490 Emergency )using Needs 520 Emergency )usina Needs 258 15 23 0 8 7 51 57 3 8 29 59 520 Method A (Adjusted for Rural Areas to SO% AMI) Bellingham City & UGA Birch Bay UGA Blaine City & UGA Cherry Point UGA Columbia Valley UGA Everson City & UGA Ferndale City & UGA Lynden City & UGA Nooksack City & UGA Sumas City & UGA LAMIRDs Area Outside UGAs and LAMIRDS Total 0-30% Emergency % of >30- >50- Housing Total Total Non-PSH PSH 50% 80% >80-100%>100-120% >120% Needs 49.7% 15,570 4,820 1,945 3,980 777 546 800 2,701 311 3.0% 931 288 116 238 46 33 48 162 19 4.5% 1,408 436 176 360 70 49 72 244 28 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.5% 470 146 59 120 23 16 24 82 9 1.4% 449 139 56 115 22 16 23 78 9 9.8% 3,055 946 382 781 153 107 157 530 61 11.0% 3,448 1,068 431 882 172 121 177 598 69 0.6% 194 60 24 50 10 7 10 34 4 1.6% 495 153 62 126 25 17 25 86 10 5.7% 1,771 0 0 0 285 200 294 992 0 11.3% 3,543 0 0 0 571 401 587 1,984 0 100% 31,334 8,055 3,250 6,652 2,155 1,514 2,218 7,490 520 County and Cities refining housing allocations Land Capacity Analysis test run • Definition from RCW 36.70A.030 • "Permanent supportive housing" is subsidized, leased housing with no limit on length of stay that prioritizes people who need comprehensive support services to retain tenancy and utilizes admissions practices designed to use lower barriers to entry than would be typical for other subsidized or unsubsidized rental housing, especially related to rental history, criminal history, and personal behaviors. Permanent supportive housing is paired with on -site or off -site voluntary services designed to support a person living with a complex and disabling behavioral health or physical health condition who was experiencing homelessness or was at imminent risk of homelessness prior to moving into housing to retain their housing and be a successful tenant in a housing arrangement, improve the resident's health status, and connect the resident of the housing with community -based health care, treatment, or employment services. Permanent supportive housing is subject to all of the rights and responsibilities defined in chapter 59.18 RCW. Photo Credit: Rich Stratm� Elected Officials I May 8, 2024 W H ASn Q�MCOUNTY I' I LELAND CONSULTING -1 GROUP ��+f �f SGJ ALLIANCE CONSULTING SERVICES .......... •� r .+.- .... � _ ... - ..,:. .. .: -� _.r-' k. '..•�"� _ _ - .. ems:. `:N� .. rv�a _ _ - .. •. .. ..... � r_ .... . .. ._':_':. '„zM1 � • :.� � ,.:.• Y'.'�'^=ate w,-'y'�. -.f;y� - :`.1['�.'`... �'$?-o%•' - v r-'tea.: .. _ � � � � '�' .. �.... -..� •- _ s-�'�-1 - _ •ram . _ 1Ww � �r r, .t �•� . - - :ter.. • s Aw Zvi _ _ t • The State of Washington OFM makes demographic projections at the state and county level • Statewide and Whatcom County forecasts both assume decreasing average annual % growth in future years Whatcom Average Annual Growth Rates (OFM Middle) 3.50% 3.3% 3.00% 2.50% �2 2% 2.1% 2.00% 1.7% 1.50% §*§.= 1.00% 0001 0.50% 0.00% 1995 2000 2005 2010 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% .. ............0:9% ..0.9%...0.8% 2015 2020 p2025 p2030 p2035 p2040 p2045 p2050 • The fundamental dynamics behind that assumption are decreasing birth rates in the face of increasing death rates. 5-yr Births & Deaths as a Pct. of Population 8.0% 7.5% 7.1% 7.0% .5% 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 5.7% 5.2% OFM Middle Scenario Projections 5.5% 5.6% 5.2% 5.2% 51 ♦births �/ 5.0% ♦deaths 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 4.9% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1990 1995 2000 4.4% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7/° ° 3.7% actual (estimated) projected 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 O • OFM assumes a relatively steady, but conservative net migration rate going forward 5-year Net 16% 13.9% Migration as % 14% of Population 12% OFM Middle Scenario Projections 10% 8.7 % 8% ° 6.9% 7.4% 6% 6.S% 4% i 5.2 " 4.6% 4•9% 5.0% 4.8% z% 2.5% actual (estimated) ;projected 0% 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 • Updates to countywide population and employment growth projections — and allocations of that growth to UGAs — generally followed methods used in the 2016 Comprehensive Plan Update. • Review of OFM Middle projections for population, 2023 to 2045 • Revision of Low and High ranges -- general tightening to make extremes more actionable for jurisdictions' planning purposes • As with 2016, the OFM Low range was deemed too conservative relative to historical growth • OFM High range projection was also adjusted -- but not as much, to remain conservative for infrastructure planning (i.e. avoiding risk of under -building infrastructure in the face of higher -than -expected growth pressure). • Baseline (Middle) growth trajectory is tapering as natural increase declines and region depends more on net migration inflows. Population 350,000 — • 337,551 — — — OFM, High dodO'0 321,702 300,000 • • • • • Adj. High . • —OFM, Middle .•`* 292,714 @ @see Adj. Low . • ; * # * . • * 274,065 250,000 •OFM, Low 226,855 • + •' # + * i 258,231 H istorical 200,000 OFM High is further from Middle than Low is. 150,000 We preserve that relationship but tighten the range for both (via adjustments to the more volatile migration rate assumptions). 100,000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 p2025 p2030 p2035 p2040 p2045 • After settling on a countywide growth trajectory and high/low range, we allocated overall population gains to UGAs • Based on shares of recent (10-year) growth within each UGA boundary (and areas outside UGAs as a rural/resource lands category) UGA Bellingham Birch Bay Blaine Cherry Point Columbia Valley Everson Ferndale Lynden Nooksack Areas outside UG Total Share of County Growth 2013 to Population Pop.2013 Pop.2023 2023 ID 2023 92,915 105,529 12,614 44.8% 7,698 8,908 1,210 3.8% 5,277 6,728 1,451 2.9% 35 61 26 0.0% 3,060 3,577 517 1.5% 2,683 3,171 488 1.3 % 12,962 16,762 3,800 7.1 % 13,208 16,696 _ 3,487 7.1 % 1,389 1,573 184 0.7% 1,445 1,810 365 0.8% 65,349 70,985 5,637 30.1% 207,937 235,800 29,779 100.0% 'Share of 10-yr. County Growth 42.4 % 4.1% 4.9% 0.1 % 1.7% 1.6% 12.8% 11.7% 0.6% 1.2 % 18.9% 1 • Distributing shares for each of the scenario/ranges: Allocation qj UGA Share Bellingham Birch Bay Blaine Cherry Point Columbia Valley 42.5% 4.1% 4.9% - Everson Ferndale Lynden Nooksack Sumas Areas outside UGAs Total Population Growth 1.6% 12.8% 11.7% 0.6% 1.2% 18.9% 100% Allocated Growth by Scenario (2023 to 2045) NFL- MWA High 16,242 24,158 36,462 1,555 2,313 3,490 1,865 2,774 4,186 665 988 1,492 627 933 1,408 4,883 7,262 10,961 4,481 6,665 10,060 237 352 531 468 697 1,052 7,243 10,773 16,260 38,265 56,914 85,902 employment GrowtA • After looking at historical small area employment by industry, GIS-matched to UGA boundaries • We computed shares by industry type (in broad groups of Industrial, Retail, Commercial, Resources) and by UGA to guide allocation across UGAs: Middle Scenario UGA Resources Industrial Retail Comm'I Total Bellingham 138 2,820 1,841 10,373 15,172 Birch Bay 0 22 10 92 _ 124 Blaine 4 327 48 322 701 Cherry Point 0 450 0 43 493 Columbia Valley 0 6 3 4 _ 13 Everson 10 88 24 81 203 Ferndale 19 961 201 961 2,141 Lynden 20 606 183 991 1,799 Nooksack 0 29 7 44 79 Sumas 2 98 8 43 150 Area outside UGAs 736 927 172 1,567 3,403 Whatcom Total 928 6,333 2,497 14,521 24,279 hoFeE"'N�y City of Bellingham "�3 City Council Special Meeting Agenda �/i4SH-�' August 2, 2024, 1:00 PM Mayor: Kimberley Lund Contact: (360) 778-8100, mayorsoffice@cob.org Council Members: Hannah Stone, Hollie Huthman, Contact: (360) 778-8200, ccmail@cob.org Daniel Hammill, Edwin H. "Skip" Williams, Lisa Anderson, Michael https://cob.org/council Lilliquist and Jace Cotton Legislative Assistant: Jackie Lassiter Members of the public wishing to view the meeting in person may do so in the Mayor's Boardroom on the second floor of City Hall, 210 Lottie Street, Bellingham, WA. This will be a hybrid meeting with remote access available via Microsoft Teams. To join the meeting remotely, use the following information: Click here to ioin the meeting Meeting ID: 223 032 587 622 Passcode: dil-629 Or call in (audio only) +1 929-352-1870 Phone conference ID: 181 177 107# Coll to Order 24195 1. Growth Management Coordination Workgroup p. 2 Adjournment Accessibility The Mayor's Boardroom is fully accessible. Elevator access to the second floor is available at City Hall's west entrance. Hearing assistance is available, and a receiver may be checked out through the Mayor's reception desk. For additional accommodations, contact the Legislative Assistant at 778-8200 in advance of the meeting.